منابع مشابه
Expectations of Returns and Expected Returns
We analyze time series of investor expectations of future stock market returns from six data sources between 1963 and 2011. The six measures of expectations are highly positively correlated with each other, as well as with past stock returns and with the level of the stock market. However, investor expectations are strongly negatively correlated with model-based expected returns. The evidence i...
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This paper examines whether the disclosure of purchase obligations in the MD&A section of 10-K filings provides useful information to investors. Firms are predicted to enter into additional purchase obligations when they expect an increase in demand for their products. As such, growth in purchase obligations is predicted to be associated with higher future sales and earnings. The evidence is co...
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Accounting accruals anticipate future economic benefits. They are intended to reverse upon the realization of the anticipated future benefits, such that their reversals have no net impact on future earnings. In practice, however, we show that extreme accruals exhibit a high frequency of subsequent reversals that do impact future earnings. We demonstrate that these reversals explain a number of ...
متن کاملEarnings Quality Measures and Excess Returns
This paper examines how commonly used earnings quality measures fulfill a key objective of financial reporting, i.e., improving decision usefulness for investors. We propose a stock-price-based measure for assessing the quality of earnings quality measures. We predict that firms with higher earnings quality will be less mispriced than other firms. Mispricing is measured by the difference of the...
متن کاملStock Prices, Earnings, and Expected Dividends
Long historical averages of real earnings help forecast present values of future real dividends. With aggregate U.S. stock market data (1871-1986), a vector-autoregressive forecast of the present value of future dividends is, for each year, roughly a weighted average of moving-average arnings and current real price, with between two thirds and three fourths of the weight on the earnings measure...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The Journal of Finance
سال: 1998
ISSN: 0022-1082
DOI: 10.1111/0022-1082.00065